敏感设备电压暂降敏感度的模糊随机评估.pdfVIP

第 29 卷 第 34 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.29 No.34 Dec. 5, 2009 90 2009 年 12 月 5 日 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2009 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 0258-8013 (2009) 34-0090-06 TM 72 A 470 40 文章编号： 中图分类号： 文献标志码： 学科分类号： ⋅ 敏感设备电压暂降敏感度的模糊随机评估 肖先勇，杨洪耕，陈武，李华强 (四川大学电气信息学院，四川省 成都市 610065) Fuzzy-random Assessment Method of Equipment Sensitivity to Voltage Sags XIAO Xian-yong, YANG Hong-geng, CHEN Wu, LI Hua-qiang (College of Electrical Engineering and Information Technology, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, Sichuan Province, China) ABSTRACT: The sensitivity of sensitive equipment to voltage 的不确定性，把电压暂降引起的敏感设备故障定义为模糊随 sag is usually expressed by the failure rate of equipment caused 机事件，引入模糊随机变量的概念，建立电压暂降引起的敏 by voltage sag. The failure rate depends on the characteristics 感设备故障概率的模糊随机评估模型，利用模糊随机变量的 of voltage sag at power supply site and the equipment voltage λ–截集，把模糊随机变量的概率求解问题转化为普通随机 tolerance. These characteristics are uncertain resulting in the 变量的概率求解，保证了评估方法的可行性。用个人计算机 difficulty in assessment and prediction. The uncertainties of (personal computers，PC)仿真并与蒙特卡罗随机模拟结果 voltage sags and voltage tolerance of sensitive equipment were 比较，证明该方法的正确性和可行性，评估结果符合客观 synthetically considered to assess the failure rate of sensitive 实际。 equipment due to voltage sag. The events of equipment failure 关键词：敏感设备；电压凹陷；模糊随机变量；敏感度；评 due to voltage sags were defined as fuzzy-random events. The 估方法；λ–截集 concept of fuzzy-random variable was introduced to disc