一种计及其运行状态的风电机组短期停运模型.pdfVIP

第 35 卷 第 8 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.35 No.8 Apr. 20, 2015 2015 年 4 月 20 日 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2015 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 1845 DOI ：10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.2015.08.003 文章编号：0258-8013 (2015) 08-1845-08 中图分类号：TM 315 一种计及运行状态的风电机组短期停运模型 李剑，雷潇，冉立，李辉，张晓萌 (输配电装备及系统安全与新技术国家重点实验室(重庆大学) ，重庆市 沙坪坝区 400044) A Short-term Outage Model of Wind Turbines Considering Operating Conditions LI Jian, LEI Xiao, RAN Li, LI Hui, ZHANG Xiaomeng (State Key Laboratory of Power Transmission Equipment System Security and New Technology (Chongqing University), Shapingba District, Chongqing 400044, China) ABSTRACT: In order to improve the ability for outage 关键词：风电机组；短期可靠性；停运模型；状态监测 predictions, a short-term outage model of wind turbines 0 引言 considering operating conditions was presented. Based on the analysis of outage causes, a short-term outage probability 由于风电具有间歇性、波动性和随机性，大规 calculating method was proposed, which considers the off-limit 模风电并网将对电力系统的安全稳定运行造成巨 of the monitoring parameters provided by wind farm supervisor 大冲击[1-2] 。对此，我国电力系统已明确要求将风电 control and data acqusition (SCADA) systems. Monitoring 场的有功输出控制纳入电网调度管理中[3] 。目前的 parameters were grouped into 2 categories according to the dependence on environment condition. The calculation method 电力系统调度往往只依据风速的短期预测，而缺乏 [4-6] of protection action probability caused by components 考虑风电场的短期可靠性 。而已有的风电场内部 temperature exceeding limit was proposed based on the 协调控制技术[7-8]也缺乏风电机组停运预警信息的 statistical characteristics of prediction residuals. T