浅析人民币升值对中国劳动密集型出口产业的影响及对策解析.doc

浅析人民币升值对中国劳动密集型 出口产业的影响及对策 摘 要 从2006年起人民币汇率出现破八的动向后，人民币经受着较大的升值的压力。中国经济快速增长，贸易顺差不断扩大，外汇储备快速增加，国际社会对人民币升值形成了强烈的预期。随着人民币升值期的到来，中国产业结构不合理，劳动密集型产品的比较优势减弱等问题将凸现出来，成为中国在升值期内保持出口持续增长的致命伤。为此，中国应该利用升值期的机遇，变压力为动力，加快产业结构调整和产业升级，以应对人民币升值可能对出口造成的负面影响，保持国民经济的可持续增长。本文通过对人民币升值的实际情况和原因的分析说明其对中国劳动密集型出口行业的影响，最后提出对该行业发展的一些建议和预期。 [关键词] 人民币升值 劳动密集型 影响分析 对策   ABSTRACT Since 2006 RMB exchange rate movements appear after the break eight yuan experiencing greater appreciation pressure. Chinas rapid economic growth, expanded trade surplus, the rapid increase of foreign exchange reserves, the international community to form a strong RMB appreciation. With the arrival of RMB appreciation, Chinas industrial structure unreasonable, labor-intensive products of comparative advantage, etc will weaken salience, become Chinas rise in export growth period maintain fatal. Therefore, China should take advantage of the opportunities, period of appreciation pressure into motive force, accelerate the adjustment of industrial structure and industrial upgrade, in response to RMB appreciation is likely to export the negative effects, and maintain the sustainable growth of national economy. Based on the actual situation of RMB appreciation and analyzing the cause of its exports to China labor-intensive industries, and finally puts forward the impact on the industry development of some Suggestions and expectations. [Key Words] revaluation lobar-intensive after analysis countermeasures 目录 一、中国外汇管理的发展化.....................................................(1) 二、人民币实际汇率与出口关系的理论析.........................................(3) （一）名义汇率与实际汇率..................................................(3) 1.名义汇率...............................................................(4) 2.实际汇率...............................................................(4) (二)实际汇率理论基础.....................................................(4) （三)出口弹性分析.........................................................(5) 三、