对于人民币国际化的影响的实证分析.docxVIP

对于人民币国际化的影响的实证分析 陈尘 （哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院11—932班，哈尔滨市，150001） 摘 要: 发源于美国的次贷危机引起全球性的经济衰退，各国经济复苏的前景堪忧。同时，危机的爆发和影响的持续也使国际社会开始审视现行以美元为主的国际货币体系，实现国际货币多元化的呼声越来越高。这对加快推进人民币的国际化进程是一个重要的历史契机，有利于改善我国在金融的弱势地位。实现人民币在国际金融市场必定实现人民币的金融市场面对海外开放。那么人民币实现国际化是否会对国内的金融市场产生较大影响？如果产生影响，究竟是刺激了本国的金融市场的发展还是抑制本国的金融市场的发展。本文利用计量分析的方法实证检验了这一命题。结果显示，人民币的国际化程度与我国对外贸易发展之间存在着强烈的双向因果关系。因此，要坚定不移地推动人民币国际化，进一步发挥其对我国金融发展发展的正向推动作用。 关键词: 人民币国际化; 金融市场发展; 国际货币体系 An Empirical Analysis on the Impact of the RMB Internationalization. Chen Chen （School of Economics and Management, Harbin Engineering University , Harbin ,150001） Abstract: Originated in the United States subprime mortgage crisis caused by the global recession, worrying economic recovery prospects. At the same time, crisis and the impact of the continuing also the international community began to re-examine the current dollar-based international monetary system, international currency diversification is more and more high. This is an important historical opportunity to accelerate the process of internationalization of RMB, is conducive to the improvement of our country in financial vulnerable position. RMB in the international financial market will achieve RMB financial market in the face of overseas open. Then the RMB internationalization will have a greater impact on the domestic financial market? If the influence, is the development of stimulated the development of domestic financial markets or to restrain their own financial market. This paper uses empirical econometric analysis method to test this proposition. The results show, there is a two-way causal relationship between the degree of internationalization of strong RMB and Chinas foreign trade development. Therefore, must not to move or retreat to promote the internationalization of RMB, further play its positive role in promoting the development of Chinas financial development. Key words: RMB internationalization; financial market development; the international monetary system随着经济实力的增强和国际地位的提高，我