线损预测的(毕模版).doc

基于遗传神经网络在电网线损率的预测 摘要本文研究的主要内容可分为两个方面：一方面是对加以介绍同时阐述了的、BP神经网络和RBF神经网络的建模方法。另一方面是对在中应用的研究，这是本文的核心部分。首先对中各参数进行采集，然后应用、BP神经网络、RBF神经网络三种方法建立了模型，并进行了离线仿真。通过对这三种方法的比较，得到法与其他两种方法相比具有更高的精度，表现出了最佳逼近的优点关键词：RBF神经网络 Forecasts based on Genetic Neural Network in the Power Grid line loss rate Abstract The grid line loss rate in theory is a comprehensive technical and economic indexes, which can not only reflect the power grid structure and operation of rationality, but the electric power enterprises technical and management level as well. It can promote the related departments to take from the internal and to reduce line loss rate. Though a lot of research in the grid loss calculation methods have made the remarkable progress at home and abroad, however, the theory in prediction of power grid line loss rate method has done little. To respond to the central putting forward the principle of economical society, it appears to be very important to reduce the loss of electricity transmission, and to carry out the line loss prediction research work . Based on the analysis of the domestic and foreign research about loss calculation method, the article ,in view of the grid system of multivariable nonlinear characteristics through the analytic hierarchy process (ahp)-grey comprehensive correlation analysis of main influence line loss parameters as a secondary variables, realizes to predicte the power grid of the line loss rate . The main contents of this paper can be divided into two aspects: one is to power loss calculation theory foundation and through the analytic hierarchy process (ahp)-grey comprehensive correlation analysis method of screening principal component variables were introduced, and expatiates the line loss rate of power grid predict the GM (1, N) more gray model, the BP neural network based on the genetic and the optimization of the RBF neural network modeling method. The other is the mathematical model to predict the power grid of the application of line loss rate predictio