四川农业结构变动影响以及过程分析200706010.docVIP

四川农业结构变动的影响及过程分析 学 生：朱 佳 指导教师：岳云华 冉清红 摘 要：农业结构调整是推进四川农业经济发展的重要措施。目的是要分析四川农业结构变动的影响及过程，以促进农业结构调整，将四川1997-2005年农业结构变动过程分为四个阶段，利用各年农业产值,通过定量分析测算了结构变动对四川农业增长的贡献率，并进一步分析了四川农业结构变动的过程。分析结果表明：农业结构变动是影响四川农业经济发展的重要因素。农业结构变动对农业经济增长的贡献率变化波动大；四川农业整体上发展速度由慢于全国到快于全国，内部结构日趋优化，竞争能力呈上升趋势，但不稳定。牧业部门所占比重逐渐增大，种植业一直缺乏竞争优势，林业和渔业的优势未发挥出来，最后为四川农业结构调整提出了建议。 关键词：农业结构；贡献率；变动过程；调整；四川  Analysis of Impact and Course of Agricultural Structure Change in Sichuan Province Undergraduate：Zhu Jia Supervisor：Yue Yun-hua Ran Qing-hong Abstract: The adjustment of agricultural structure is an important measure to develop agricultural economic. In order to analysis the impact and course of change in the agricultural structure, the course of agricultural structure change was divided into four periods from 1997 to 2005, the contribution rate of the agricultural structure change to the economic growth in Sichuan Province, was calculated by quantitative analysis according to the production value of agriculture every year. Then the course of agricultural structure change in Sichuan Province was analyzed by SSM. The result has showed that the change of agricultural structure was one of important factors for the economic development. In the course of agricultural structure change, the contribution rate of the economic growth was volatile. In general, the agricultural development in Sichuan Province was faster than the nation in recent years. The internal structure was going to better increasingly, and the agricultural competition was increasing unsteadily. The proportion of stockbreeding was increasing more rapidly than that of planting, forestry and fishery. The competitive of planting was little advantage, and the advantage of forestry and fishery was not clear. At last some suggestions to adjust agricultural structure were pointed out. Key words: agricultural structure; contribution rate; the course of change; adjustment; Sichuan Province  目 录 1.引言 1 2.农业结构变动对四川农业增长的贡献分析 1 2.1测算农业结构变动对经济增