股票分析报告 投稿：龙堷堸.doc

股票分析报告 投稿：龙堷堸 股票投资分析报告 分析对象：万科A 证券代码：000002 2015年7月7日 目 录 一．基本面分析······················································1 1.宏观经济分析·················································1 （1）财政政策···················································1 （2）货币政策···················································1 2.行业分析·····················································2 （1）利好·······················································2 （2）利空·······················································3 （3）结论·······················································3 3.公司财务分析··················································4 （1）公司财务横向分析····································4 （2）公司财务纵向分析····································11 二技术面分析······················································13 1.K线理论分析·················································13 （1）K线与成交量···············································14 （2）K线与筹码图···············································14 （3）K线与均线系统·············································14 2.切线理论分析················································14 （1）趋势线·····················································14 （2）通道线·····················································16 （3）甘氏线·····················································17 （4）线性回归线·················································19 （5）黄金分割线和百分比线·······································20 3.形态理论分析·················································22 （1）反转形态·················································22 （2）持续形态·················································24 4.技术指标分析··············································27 （1）MACD、DMA、TRIX指标········································27 （2）DMI、 EMV指标·············································28 （3）BB、BOLL、WIDTH指标······································29 一、 基本面分析 1． 宏观经济分析 2015年上半年，中国宏观经济基本上延续了中国新常态攻坚期的基本逻辑，各类宏观经济指标在趋势性和周期性因素的叠加作用下出现超预期的变化，并呈现出以下10大新现象和新特征。 1、GDP增速在总体持续回落中出现部分区域塌方式的下