AnintroductiontoprobabilisticgraphicalmodelsandtheBayes.ppt

An introduction to probabilistic graphical modelsand the Bayes Net Toolboxfor Matlab Kevin Murphy MIT AI Lab 7 May 2003 Outline An introduction to graphical models An overview of BNT Why probabilistic models? Infer probable causes from partial/ noisy observations using Bayes’ rule words from acoustics objects from images diseases from symptoms Confidence bounds on prediction(risk modeling, information gathering) Data compression/ channel coding What is a graphical model? A GM is a parsimonious representation of a joint probability distribution, P(X1,…,XN) The nodes represent random vari