商务统计 [美]Chap012.pptVIP

COMPLETE BUSINESS STATISTICS by AMIR D. ACZEL JAYAVEL SOUNDERPANDIAN 6th edition. Chapter 12 Time Series, Forecasting, and Index Numbers 12-1 Using Statistics The Random Walk A Time Series as a Superposition of Cyclical Functions 12-2 Trend Analysis: Example 12-1 12-2 Trend Analysis: Example 12-1 Example 12-2 12-3 Seasonality and Cyclical Behavior Time Series Decomposition Estimating an Additive Model with Seasonality 12-4 The Ratio-to-Moving- Average Method Comparing Original Data and Smoothed Moving Average Ratio-to-Moving Average Ratio-to-Moving Average: Example 12-