15年 职称英语考试 理工B 阅读理解 2.5.6.7英汉对译15年 职称英语考试 理工B 阅读理解 2.5.6.7英汉对译.docVIP

阅读理解 二、五、六、七 第二篇 World Crude Oil Production May Peak a Decade Earlier Than Some Predict 生产 顶峰 十年 预测 In a finding that may speed efforts努力 to conserve保存 oil, scientists in Kuwait predict that world conventional crude oil production will peak in 2014. This prediction is almost a decade earlier than some other predictions．Their study is in ACS’ Energy＆Fuels1． 科威特科学家预测世界常规原油产量将在2014年达到峰值，这一发现可能会促进储存石油的努力。这一预测比其他预测提前了将近十年，已经发表在美国化学学会《能量与燃料》杂志上。 Ibrahim Nashawi and colleagues同事 point out that rapid迅速的 growth in global全球的 oil consumption 消耗has sparked激发 a growing interest兴趣 in predicting peak oil．Peak oil is the point where oil production reaches a maximum最大的 and then decline下降s. Scientists have developed several models to forecast预报 this point, and some put the date at 2020 or later. One of the most famous forecast models is called the Hubbert model2. It assumes假定 that global oil production will follow a bell shaped curve3. A related有关系的 concept概念 is that4 of Peak Oil. The term术语 Peal Oil indicates表明 the moment in which world wide production Will peak, afterwards to start on irreversible decline． 伊布赫姆·纳夏威和同事们指出，全球石油消耗的快速增长使人们对“石油峰值”预测的兴趣越来越浓。“石油峰值”指的是石油产量达到最大值后开始下降的时间点。科学家已经构建了几个模型来预测这一时间，有些模型认为这一时间在2020年或更晚。其中最著名的预测模型之一是赫伯特模型。赫伯特模型认为世界石油产量呈钟形曲线，与此相关的概念是“石油峰值”。这一术语指的是世界石油产量达到峰值的那一刻，之后将呈现无法逆转的下降趋势。 The Hubbert model accurately精确的 predicted that oil production would peak in the United States in 1970. The model has since gained in获得 popularity受大众欢迎 and has been used to forecast oil production worldwide． 赫伯特模型精确地预测到美国石油产量于1970年达到峰值。这一模型从此受到欢迎，已经用于预测世界石油生产。 However, recent studies show that the model is insufficient to account for5 more complex复杂的 oil production cycles周期 of some countries．Those cycles can be heavily influenced by受…影响 technology changes, politics, and other factors因素, the scientists say. 但是，最近研究表明，这一模型不足以解释某些国家更加复杂的石油生产周期。科学家称，这些生产周期受到技术变化、政策和其他因素的很大影响。　 The new study describes表明 development of a new vers