ppt课件-医学信息学 (a)（ medical informatics( a)）.pptVIP

Judgement and Decision Making in Information Systems  Diagnostic Modeling: Bayes’ Theorem, Influence Diagrams and Belief Networks Yuval Shahar, M.D., Ph.D. Reasoning Under Uncertainty Example: Medical Diagnosis Uncertainty is inherent to medical reasoning relation of diseases to clinical and laboratory findings is probabilistic Patient data itself is often uncertain with respect to value and time Patient preferences regarding outcomes vary Cost of interventions and therapy can change Principles of diagnosis modeling and computation are identical in engineering, finance, scientific evidenc