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A View of Future Systems and Software Engineering Barry Boehm, boehm@ USC Center for Systems Software Engineering The Future of Systems and Software Eight surprise-free trends Increasing integration of SysE and SwE User/Value focus Software Criticality and Dependability Rapid, Accelerating Change Distribution, Mobility, Interoperability, Globalization Complex Systems of Systems COTS, Open Source, Reuse, Legacy Integration Computational Plenty Two wild-card trends Autonomy Software Combinations of Biology and Computing Implications for SE/SW processes Jointly and severally Pareto 80-20 distribution of test case value [Bullock, 2000] Business Case for Value-Based Testing 3,4. Criticality and Rapid Change Trends Software increasingly success-critical Provides competitive differentiation, adaptability to change Global connectivity and competition accelerate change More ripple effects of technology, marketplace changes Increased need for agility, continuous learning Need to balance agility and plan-driven dependability Decline of THWADI (That’s how we’ve always done it) Avoid technical agility, administrative THWADI Hybrid agile/plan-driven processes needed for larger systems Need for pro-active technology, marketplace monitoring Education: Need to learn how to learn Hybrid Agile/Plan-Driven Process:Increment View Hybrid Agile/Plan-Driven Process:Increment View 7. COTS: The Future is Here Major concerns: COTS assurance, evolution, interoperability Need pro-active supplier COTS management, synchronization Software is not “all about programming” anymore Persistence of Legacy Systems Before establishing new-system increments Determine how to undo legacy system 9, 10. Wild Cards: Autonomy and Bio-Computing Great potential for good Robot labor; human shortfall compensation 5 Senses, healing, life span, self-actualization Adaptive control of the environment Redesigning the world for higher quality of life Physically, biologically, informationally Great potential for
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