人口增长与济发展的关系.docVIP

人口增长与经济发展的关系 一八I 尹卜飞 、凡雌孩一匆 丫一州夕勺称· ;p. 了 Z‘ 伟 瀚 宝梦嗯喃 s 电 渗瞬荞 、 DEAEIObWEL1.L bObfIIV,LIOI4 IILICKEY2E YI4D ECOLIOI/SIC ME KEId.LIOL12HIb BE,LMEEA 幸丫}Wd甲丫A WT1 1119干秦t=中件幸V袖吞丫 1d’ Rd百}ed寺1??5.1rs常 苦士**4r?E44 W$ N} id t *qm )kw I 摘 要 人口增长与经济发展的关系是人类社会最基本的问题，是一个国家经济发展的 根本，也是可持续发展的核心问题。人口与经济发展的关系一直以来都是国内外学 者们关注的焦点，中国作为人口大国一直以来备受各界人士的关注，其经济实力及 综合国力水平也在近几十年的时间里得到了迅速的发展。而经济发展阶段和发展状 况是人口发展的重要因素，人口过快增长会阻碍经济发展, 人口适度增长能促进经 济发展。 本文首先对国内外关于人口与经济发展的相关文献进行了系统的梳理并加以分 析，阐述了我国的人口增长和经济发展的历程以及我国人口增长与经济发展的现状， 分别分析了人口数量、人口质量和人口结构与经济发展的关系。然后，根据近年我 国人口与经济发展的情况，运用统计描述的方法分析了我国人口方面的情况与发展 趋势，并与世界进行比较，发现不足之处，用古典回归模型分析人口与经济发展的 指标体系之间的关系，并对实证结果进行了详细的解释与分析。最后，本文针对以 上我国人口与经济发展存在的不足之处，给出促进我国人口与经济协调发展的对策。 关键词：人口增长，经济发展，关系，对策III Abstract The relationship between population and economic development is the most basic problems of human society, is a fundamental of the countrys economic development, the core issue of sustainable development. The focus of the relationship between population and economic development has always been a concern of scholars at home and abroad, as the most populous country has been much concern of people from all walks of life, its economic strength and overall national strength level is also a time of recent decades has been rapid developments. Stages of economic development and development is an important factor in population development, the rapid population growth will impede economic development, moderate population growth to promote economic development. This article first systematic review of the literature on population and economic development at home and abroad and analyzes on Chinas Five-Year Plan and the status quo of Chinas population growth and economic development, population, population quality and population structure and economic development. Then, according to the situation of Chinas population and economic development in recent years, the method described using statistical analysis of the situation and development trend of Chinas pop