区域抗震防灾应急疏散道路智能优选模型..docVIP

区域抗震防灾应急疏散道路智能优选模型 刘朝峰1，苏经宇1,2，郭小东1,2 （1.北京工业大学 抗震减灾研究所，北京 100124；2.北京工业大学 建筑与规划学院，北京 100124） 摘要：为了判断突发灾害下区域道路的应急疏散能力，选择合理的应急疏散道路，从应急疏散角度构建包括速度、时间负荷裕度、空间负荷裕度、畅通可靠度、行程时间可靠度等5个因素的评价指标体系，结合双链量子遗传算法和自主评价技术，提出了区域抗震防灾应急疏散道路智能优选模型。该模型首次通过计算评价指标的绝对优势度和相对优势度，确定评价单元的评价指标优先顺序；其次利用改进双链量子遗传算法优化IOWA算子求解评价单元的位置加权向量和评价值向量；最后利用评价值的集结得到各评价单元的最优评价向量。实例计算表明，该方法评价结果充分反映了受多种因素综合影响的道路应急疏散能力评价的客观实际情况，可接受程度较高，验证了该模型及求解过程的可行性，优选结果可为区域的应急疏散规划提供决策依据。 关键词：区域路网；应急疏散；双链量子遗传算法；优势度；综合评价 中图分类号: U121，C931　 文献标识码:A 文章编号: Intelligent Optimization Model on Regional Emergency Evacuation Road for Seismic Resistance and Hazardous Prevention LIU Chao-feng1, SU Jing-yu1,2, GUO Xiao-dong1,2 (1. Inst. of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing Univ. of Technol., Beijing 100124, China; 2. College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Beijing Univ. of Technol., Beijing 100124, China) Abstract: In order to determine the emergency evacuation capacity of urban roads in sudden disasters, the emergency evacuation capability evaluation method for the regional road network is studied. The evaluation index system including speed, time of load margin, the space load margin, smooth reliability, travel time reliability is built from the perspective of emergency evacuation. Self-evaluation model for emergency evacuation capacity of the regional road network based on improved double chains quantum genetic algorithm is established. Firstly, the prior order of the evaluation indexes is determined by calculating the absolute dominance degree and relative dominance degree. Secondly, the position weighted vector and the evaluation value vector of the evaluation object are solved by improved double chains quantum genetic algorithm optimizing IOWA Operator. Finally, the optimal evaluation vector is obtained by the aggregated model of evacuation values. Example shows that the evaluation results reflect the reality of the emergency evacuation capacity of urban roads affected by a variety of factors. It