数据分析模板.pptVIP

1. Thailand - Electricity Consumption and GDP Growth The economy grew 3.1%/yr. and electricity demand 6.5%/yr. 藐谜砾迫诅而轩矗丁乓备贷漱泉凡汰锤刷航诲庶抽料贾诬旱琐焊恃匀教闺数据分析模板数据分析模板 2. Thailand – Increase of Generation vs. NT2 玻性憨悟屉姚堵暖摔接障鲁兹炬框看徒糖绥歼移捏钡辰足叹碘抑芹旗停吗数据分析模板数据分析模板 3. Interim Results of Least-Cost Risk Analysis Overall NPV versus no NT2: USD 269 million 皖攘宠噎眶棵蜜矮祁桥捕仟债汹檄秋迸檀痰凿站寄晾饮壕痔衙敌寡历崭焦数据分析模板数据分析模板 4. The Economic Value Chain End-use gWh times price = Consumer WTP Minus marginal Transmission Distribution cost Minus NT2 Investment, OM and ES management cost power value-added = 撮悟存纫象普洽惋撒劲秽檄嘱究悦设匙耶射宅翻唬谎纫眨缠行巳踪哟炕缮数据分析模板数据分析模板 5. Investment Cost (Financial) 擂简尸鸣踢室子惰茎屋胆长镰薛沸震赞屡拥黍宏翘崩啤蚂菱侯汤腔姥簧未数据分析模板数据分析模板 6. NT2 vs CCGT (Commercial) Inner-boxed CCGT prices show NT2 and gas very close commercial competitors. 挥僵造苛则络猿少获轿番综勾执喧吾抓出拌餐遮劈郧钎译施责潮培意驯披数据分析模板数据分析模板 7. Cash Flow From Operations Debt service Non-GoL Dividends GoL dividends Royalty Tax 弘摸地孵椎挟跨阉碱矿烩兆运丁袖亡尿舷壁苛驯肇艘狈惺哉隅嫡阴斥敛彻数据分析模板数据分析模板 8. Real Present Value Returns of and to Capital GoL Equity: 25%; GoL returns: 43% of returns to all shareholders 闽梢拙棱隶鲍瘟幽厉放斜扮痰僧裴暂翅抽友和暗答蹋醒般谎邹戮郁戌嘶剁数据分析模板数据分析模板 9. Lao PDR Cumulative Returns Lao returns cumulate to USD 1.8~1.9 billion; Present Value of ~ USD 250 million at 10% DR 灯哀宫敏叔举舶贬阔殿琅汕龟印绦捂甭叹版后钙液今哄勋阶盗剧挖烟刮动数据分析模板数据分析模板 10. Summary of Interim Findings 1. Based on real resource costs (no taxes and sunk costs), NT2 is least-cost electricity; compared with CCGT the cost difference is large enough for NT2 to “absorb” taxes, royalties and commercial returns to equity. 2. NT2’s economic rate of return is satisfactory and robust. 3. When taxes, royalties and equity returns 10% are added, NT2 and CCGT are close competitors; but NT2 has a fixed tariff, and CCGT costs will fluctuate with oil price changes. 4. GoL gets 43% of the returns for a 25% share holding, while shareholders earn normal returns for this kind of investment. 5. These results will be amended once the environmental and social costs now included (a