基于模糊优选方法的雅砻江调水方案优化.docVIP

基于模糊优选方法的雅砻江调水方案优化 　　摘要：在工程建设中通常会面对多方案的选择，平衡各方面的利益取得最佳方案是工程建设的重要工作。模糊优选方法是一种具有严密数学逻辑和哲学思维的方法，能够用来对工程建设中的多方案进行优选。结合雅砻江流域内的调水工程，考虑调水的生态环境影响，选择多指标表征生态环境，设置多种调水方案，利用模糊优选方法对雅砻江调水方案进行优化选择。结果表明：在调水规模一致和调水过程不同的前提下，调水过程的变化对降低调水不利的影响很大；在调水过程一致和调水规模不同的前提下，调水规模的降低对生态环境的保护起积极作用；在现有的基础上考虑生态环境的影响，应该适当降低调水规模并尽可能在汛期调水。 　　关键词：模糊优选；雅砻江；调水方案；南水北调 　　中图分类号：TV213.2 文献标志码：A 文章编号2015 　　Scheme optimization of water transfer in the Yalong River based on fuzzy optimization method 　　WANG Linghe1，2，WANG Hao1，2，ZHOU HuiCheng1，YAN Denghua2，JIN Xin3 　　（1.School of Hydraulic Faculty of Infrastructure Engineering，Dalian University of Technology，Dalian 116023，China； 　　2.Department of Water Resources，ChinaInstitution of Water Resources and Hydropower Research，Beijing 100038，China； 　　3.Liaoning Province Hydrology and Water Resources Survey Bureau，Shenyang 110003，China） 　　Abstract：Scheme selection is common in engineering construction，，and the best scheme can balance the benefits from different aspects.Fuzzy optimization method is widely used in scheme selection of engineering projects due to its strict logic of mathematical and philosophical thinking.In this paper，fuzzy optimization method was used to select the best scheme for the water transfer in the Yalong River in consideration of the ecoenvironmental impacts.The results showed （1） under the same water transfer scale and different water transfer process，variation of water transfer process can increase the adverse effects of water transfer；（2） under the same water transfer process and different water transfer scale，reduction of water transfer scale can benefit the ecological environment；and （3） water transfer is better conducted during the flood season and water transfer scale can be reduced in order to decrease its impacts on the ecological environment. 　　Key words：fuzzy optimization；Yalong River；water transfer scheme；SouthtoNorth Water Transfer Project 　　1 研究概况 　　工程方案的选择是工程决策的重要环节，关系到工程项目最终的成败。一般而言，工程实施会带来有利和不利的影