Threedimensional numerical modeling of deltas三角洲三维数值模拟.pptVIP

EXAMPLE OF MARINE MODELINGSeafloor stratigraphy and its variability: a numerical modeling approach Irina Overeem and James Syvitski Environmental Computation and Imaging Facility INSTAAR, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO Objectives Develop an expert system for determination of environmental boundary conditions and their time-variability on a global scale. These boundary conditions are input to the stratigraphic simulation models. Characterization of sea floor and shallow shelf stratigraphy with HydroTrend and 2D-SedFlux numerical modeling and test model predictions against observed sea floor data. Determine sea floor variability by running 2D-SedFlux sensitivity tests Develop measures and visualization that quantify model prediction uncertainty New Jersey shelf stratigraphy is used as the case-study to illustrate the research results. Numerical models: Hydrotrend and SedFlux HydroTrend INPUT(t) T, P, A, H, ELA + statistical properties PROCESSES Hydrological mass balance (daily) Qi =Qsurf +Qniv + Qgw+Qice Empirical relation Qs ~ A, H, T Qs ~ ψ (Qi /Qmean)c OUTPUT (t) - Q, Qs, Qb (daily) for 5 grain-size classes 2DSedFlux INPUT(t) sea level(t), bathymetry (t-0) Q, Qs, Qb PROCESSES River: avulsion, floodplain SR Marine: delta plume, stormreworking Basin: compaction OUTPUT (x,z,t) 2D-geometry grain size, permeability, bulk density, porosity I Expert system for retrieval of time-continuous environmental conditions The present-day sea floor and shallow stratigraphy is determined by changing depositional processes over time, often recording 1000’s of years of evolution. The depositional processes are controlled by longterm sea-level changes and climate changes (like temperature and precipitation patterns, storm climate and sea-ice or glacial melt). Estimates of environmental conditions are now being retrieved from global datasets and environmental models (e.g Community Climate System Models) for our stratigraphic modeling purposes.