发生的条件概率.pptVIP

EXAMPLE Suppose the incidence of a certain population is p. There is a blood test for the diseas. It detects the disease with probability ? if the person tested has the disease and gives a false positive with probability ?. Find the probability that a person who tests positive has the disease and find the probability that a person who tests positive does not have the disease. SOLUTION. Let A be the event person has the disease and B be the event test is positive. Then * 本章学习要求： 理解随机事件的概念，掌握事件之间的关系与运算。 理解事件频率的概念，理解概率的古典定义。 掌握概率的基本性质及概率加法定理。 理解条件概率的概念，掌握概率的乘法定理，了解事件的独立性概念。 掌握贝努利概型和二项概率的