中国主要城市低碳化发展指数的测度与评价-湖南省城市文化研究会.doc

中国主要城市低碳化发展指数的测度与分析( 张 旺1,2，周跃云2，赵先超2 (1 首都师范大学资源环境与旅游学院，北京 100048；2 中国社会科学院城市发展与环境研究所湖南工业大学·全球低碳智慧城市联合研究中心，湖南 株洲 412007) 摘要：处于快速城市化、工业化和机动化过程中的中国城市，向低碳化发展是其必由之路。基于DPSIR模型，从低碳化基础、能源低碳化、产业低碳化、建筑低碳化、交通低碳化、环境低碳化、碳汇能力和社会低碳化8个方面构建城市低碳化发展指数的评价指标体系，以线性加权法对我国36个城市进行了测度。结果分析表明：城市总体低碳化发展水平不高，还没真正意义上的低碳城市，将之划分为3个准低碳城市、22个中碳城市、11个高碳城市；低碳化发展指数整体上呈现出由东向西、由南到北逐渐减小的分异态势；低碳化发展指数与城市财富和城市规模都没有明显的相关关系；低碳化发展在各个方面还不平衡，薄弱之处需要提高。该研究试图为各市统筹兼顾、因地制宜地实现低碳发展提供科学基础。 关键词：低碳化发展指数；DPSIR模型；空间分异；相关性The Measurement and Analysis on Index of Low Carbon Oriented Development for Major Cities of China ZHANG Wang1,2, ZHOU Yue-yun2, ZHAO Xian-chao2 (1. College of Resource Environment and Tourism，Capital Normal University，Beijing，100048，China；2 Global Joint Research Centre for Low Carbon and Wisdom City，Institute for Urban and Environmental Studies Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Hunan University of Technology，Zhuzhou，Hunan，412007，China) Abstract: In the process of rapid urbanization, industrialization and motorization in Chinese cities, low-carbon oriented development is the only way. Based on the DPSIR model, the paper built firstly the evaluation indicator system of urban low-carbon oriented development index(LCDI) from the aspects of low-carbon oriented base, low-carbon oriented energy, low-carbon oriented industry, low-carbon oriented architecture, low-carbon oriented traffic, low-carbon oriented environment, capacity of carbon sink and low-carbon oriented society. Then it measured the LCDI of 36 cities in China with a linear weighting method. The analyzing results indicates that: all the levels of low-carbon oriented development was not high and there wasn’t a real low carbon city in China; These 36 cities is divided into 3 quasi low carbon cities, 22 middle carbon cites and 11 high carbon cities; The space distribution of LCDI reduced gradually from east to west and south in China; LCDI had no obvious related correlation with city wealth and city scale; Each aspect of low-carbon oriented