滁州学院2012旅游的管理.docVIP

预测一 Part I Writing (30 minutes) Directions: For this part, you are allowed 30 minutes to write a short essay entitled Trend of Population based on the statistics provided in the chart below. Please give a brief description of the chart first and then make comments on it. You should write at least 150 words but no more than 200 words. Trend of population Year Population aged above 60 Proportion of total population 1990 98.19 (million) 8.8% 2003 136.47 (million) 10.2% 2010 240 (million) 18.7% 2013 430 (million) 30.5% Trend of Population A survey of the population aged over 60 showed that in 1990 the number was 98.19 million, consisting of 8.8% of the total population in China. Between 2003 and 2010, the number jumped from 136.47 million to 240 million. But this age group grew to about 430 million in 2013, accounting for 30.5 percent. The aging process presents societies with enormous challenges related to social security, health care and economic structure and growth. On one hand, the strain on the Social Security system for retirement benefits will increase as more people enter retirement. On the other hand, an aging population may require expensive medical treatments which again have to be funded by government. To solve the problem of the ageing population, governments need to promote diversified support systems to ensure that families and communities can support the elderly to live healthy and active lives. Firstly, plans should be made for the development of national economy. Secondly, government policies and the social insurance network should be adjusted. What’s more, more medical facilities should be made for the elderly. 【点评】 文章第一段介绍了60岁及以上的老年人数量的增长及所占比例的增加，揭示人口老龄化这一现象；第二段分析了人口老龄化所引发的问题；第三段针对人口老龄化问题提出解决办法。 第一段中consisting of和accounting for均表示“在……中占……比例”；第二段中Social Security system意为“社会保障系统”， retirement benefits意为“退休福利”；第三段中Firstly, …Secondly, …What’s more意为“首先……其次……再次……”；social insurance network意为“社会保障网络”。 预测二 Part I Writing (30 minutes) Di