新建居住区用电报装容量计算方法.pdfVIP

广西电力 56 2014 年6 月 GUANGXI ELECTRIC POWER VoL37 No.3 新建居住区用电报装容量计算方法 陈应盛 (广西电网公司南宁供电局，南宁 53α汩的 摘要:为在配电网规划阶段提高地块用电报装容量的快速预测效率和精准度，针对传统方法存在统计工作量大、误差大、计 算时序滞后的问题，从传统新建居住区用电报装容量计算方法入手，研究居住区用电报装容量与建筑面积之间的相关性，提出 运用回归分析方法计算新建居住区的用电报装容量。通过应用回归方程式计算，用电报装容量精准度的相对误差控制在8.5% 以内，实例验证该方法有效。该计算方法是一种快速预测开发地块用电报装容量的方法，可作为供电企业在配网规划阶段进行 地块快速负荷预测的工具之一。 关键询:回归分析法:新建居住区;报装容量;负荷预测 中图分类号: TM715 文献标志码:A 文章编号: 1671-8380(2014)03-∞56-05 Calculation Method of Installation Capacity in N ew Residential Area CHEN Yingsheng (Nanning Power Supp1y Bureau , Guangxi Power Grid Corporation, Nanning 530∞4， China) Abstract: In order to improve the rapid prediction efficiency and accuracy of b10ck e1ectricity consumption instal1ation capacity in the p1anning stage of distribution network , and aiming at prob1ems of 1arger work 10ad , bigger eπors and 1ag of calcu1ation time in traditional method ,the re1ationship between the e1ectricity consumption installation capacity of residential 缸回 and the construction area are studied which are started from the traditional calcu1ation method of e1ectricity consumption instal1ation capacity in new residentia1 E咽， and the method that uses regression analysis method to calcu1ate the e1ectricity consumption instal1ation capacity in new residential area is proposed. By the app1ication of regression equation calcu1ation , the re1ative error of the 配curacy of e1ectricity consumption instal1ation capacity can be controlled within 8.5%. The real c回e verified that the proposed method is effective. The proposed calcu1ation method is a rapid method to predict the