企业技术再创新与政府补偿的不完全信息博弈分析.pdfVIP

企业技术再创新与政府补偿的 不完全信息博弈分析 叶建木，罗娟 (武汉理工大学管理学院，武汉430070) 摘要：基于不完全信息博弈分析企业技术再创新和政府补偿之间的关系。结果表明：企业技术再创新的期望利润 与企业前次技术创新失败资源在再创新中发挥的效用正相关；企业技术再创新的期望利润与企业技术再创新成功 概率正相关；企业技术再创新成功概率与企业获得政府补偿的概率正相关，且政府补偿的概率与补偿标准负相关； 政府的期望社会福利和企业技术再创新带来的社会增量福利正相关；企业和政府可依据技术再创新成功概率分别 做出是否技术再创新和补偿的决策。 关键词：失败项目；技术再创新；补偿；不完全信息 中图分类号：F273．1 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1001—8409(2014)06—0035—06 Research on the Relationship between Enterprise Technology Re-innovaUon and Government Compensation Based on Incomplete Information Game YE Jian—mu，LUO Juan (School of Management，Wuhan University of Technology，Wuhan 430070) Abstract：This paper is based on incomplete information game analysis of the relationship between enterprise technology m- innovation and government compensation．The results showed that：enterprise technology re-innovation expected profit has a positively related to the resources which are accumulated in the previous innovation failure utility to play in the technology re。innovation；enterprise technology re-innovation expected profit has a positively related to the probability of enterprise technology re-innovation SUCCESS；the probability of enterprise technology re-innovation Success and enterprises obtain gov- ernment compensation of probability positively related；the probability of government compensation is negatively correlated to the compensation standard；government expected social welfare has a positively related to the incremental social welfare which is brought by enterprise technology re—innovation；based on the probability of enterprise technology re··innovation SUC- cess enterprises make a decision on whether re—innovation and the government make a decision about whether compensates on the previous failed innovations． Key words：failure pmjects；technology re-innovation；compensation；incomplete information 技术创新是国家科技水平提升的主要途径¨工j，技 术创新项目的成功实施往往能解决国家经济和社会发 展过程中的重大技术问题。然而技术创新失败客观存 在，赵寅君”o调查六大产业开展技术创新活动的2130 家企业中，有1884家企业的技术创新活动被中止或失 败，占总数的88．45％。企业作为最直接、最重要的技术 创新主体H·在技术创新过程中投入了大量人力、物力、 财力。根据国家统计局、科学技术部、财