ReliabilityAnalysisforDamsandLevees.pptVIP

Reliability Analysis for Dams and Levees;Hodges Village Dam;Walter F. George Dam;Herbert Hoover Dike;Some Background ;Some Practical Problems;Some More Practical Problems ;General Approaches: Event Tree;Probabilities for the Event Tree ;Pr(f) = Function of Parameter Uncertainty;The Probability of Failure;The Reliability Index, b;Taylor’s series, mean-value FOSM approach;Slope Stability Results, Lock Dam No. 2;Lognormal distribution on FS, LD 2;Change in FS and Pr(f);Pros and Cons of b, Pr(U);Physical Meaning of b, Pr(f);Frequency-based Probabilities;Pros and Cons of Frequency Models;Judgment