货币制度回归金本位的可行性分析的论文.docVIP

　　货币制度回归金本位的可行性分析的论文 　　摘要：随着时间的推移，国际市场上由于金融危机而引起的轩然大波也渐渐的得到了平息。然而，就在各国都在为经济新一轮的涅槃而摩拳擦掌之时，国际间货币市场却看似余波未平。近年来，美元与他国主要货币之间的汇率持续走低，有些甚至跌至了近四十年来的谷底；而同时，美元汇率的不稳定性也使得美国的主要交易对手普遍对之产生了信任危机。例如，在2008年末，当国际油价在100美元大关处徘徊不定之时，以阿联酋、卡塔尔为代表的一些国家都曾考虑用其他主要货币来替代美元作为国际间油价的计价单位。就在这个时点上，一些知名的经济学家公开呼吁国际社会摒弃美元，回归金本位制。那么，在当今的经济大环境下，回归金本位制是不是一个好的选择？它又有着怎样的可行性？本文通过着重分析回归金本位制的优劣之处，试图对这一个问题进行探讨。 　　关键词：金本位制 国际市场 金融危机 　　 　　serving as a main coinage for over one century, the gold standard does has its merits. first, the exchange rate fixed under the gold standard successfully avoided the uncertainty caused by the fluctuating rate, metry of the gold standard, not a single country could enjoyed its privilege in this system. it is then each countrys obligation to intervene its foreign exchange market. third, since each central bank oney supply of a country ore quickly than its actual demand and a country thus could elude the risk of inflation. 　　hoerely an impractical a historical and philosophic point of vieent of the y. oit of the gold reserves in each country and to the loount of money supply could only share a paratively slo. statistic shoiddle period of 1990s, at 2500 tons per year. hoy aggregate during 20th century 16.4 times faster than that at the end of the 19th century. so it is obvious that the currency system atched to the fast developing y if e specialists and scholars advocate that us dollar should and must return to the gold standard at the top of their bent, it is no doubt against the historical trajectory, ed even a century ago. 　　secondly, the gold standard itself is not an absolutely stable coinage as people generally regard. even though the moary system is backed by real gold, the eruption of currency crisis still remains around the corner. as is the case , once there is a severe misconduct in a countrys macroeconomic policies, for example a paratively high level of government deficit, the exchange speculators ent to maintain the price ratio betake profit. lets take the ple.