新型城镇化与农业现代化第一代农民工的转移取向及其多元影响——四川省调研数据的实证.pdfVIP

人口与发展 2013 年第19 卷第6 期 POPULATION DEVELOPMENT Vol. 19 No.6 2013 新型城镇化与农业现代化:第一代农民工的 转移取向及其多元影晌 一一四川省调研数据的实证 董欢1 ，郭晓鸣2 (1中国农业大学经济管理学院，北京 1脱脱3;2 四川省社会科学院，四川 成都 61∞72) 摘要:基于对四川省内江市和遂宁市309 名第一代农民工的抽样抽查，运用二元Logit 模型，实证检验了 个体、家庭、务工等特征对第一代农民工转移取向的作用机制和影响程度。基于其转移取向的差异性， 分析了不同转移行为可能对我国新型城镇化和农业现代化进程产生的多元影响。针对层次性转移特 点，提出差异化的支持政策，以使其流动更加乎稳有序。 关键词:劳动力转移;第一代农民工;新型城镇化;农业现代化 中固分类号:C912.82 文献标识码:A 文章编号:1674 -1668(2013)06-∞19 -07 New Urbanization and Agricultural Modernization: The Transfer Orientation of First Generation of Migrant Workers and Its Multiple EtTects 1 2 DONG Huan ,GUO Xiao-ming (1 College 01 Economics Management , China Agricultural University , Beijing 1c削83 ， China;2 Sichuan Academy 01 Social Sciences , Chengdu 61∞72 ， China) Abstract: Based on the scale survey on the first generation of migrant workers in Sichuan prov- ince ,this article analyzes the first generation of migrant workers transfer orientations by using bin缸y logit model. Empirical analysis shows that ,the first generation of migrant workers trans- fer orientations 町e different due to differences among individuals ,families ,and other character- istics. Mter that ,this article analyzes 由e different transfer orientations complex influences on 由e process of new urbanization and agricultural modernization. In the end ,put forward differen- tiated support policies which aim for making 由eir transfer more smoothly and orderly. Key words: labor force transferring; 也e first generation of migrant workers; new urbanization; agricult