Recursive estimation of the claim rates and sizes in an insurance model 外文参考文献.docVIP

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Recursive estimation of the claim rates and sizes in an insurance model 外文参考文献.doc

Recursive estimation of the claim rates and sizes in an insurance model 外文参考文献

RECURSIVEESTIMATIONOFTHECLAIMRATES ANDSIZESINANINSURANCEMODEL LAKHDARAGGOUN Received19October2003andinrevisedform16May2004 Itisacommonfactthatformostclassesofgeneralinsurance, manypossiblesourcesof heterogeneity ofriskexist.Premium ratesbased oninformation fromaheterogeneous portfolio might be quite inadequate. One way of reducing this danger is by grouping policiesaccordingtothedi?erentlevelsofthevariousriskfactorsinvolved.Usingmea- surechangetechniques,wederiverecursive?ltersandpredictorsfortheclaimratesand claimsizesforthedi?erentgroups. 1.Introduction Allprocessesarede?nedonameasur

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