聚类统计检验在人工增雨效果检验中的应用.PDF

31 2 V o l. 31 No. 2 2008 4 Journal of N anjing Inst itut e of M et eoro logy A pr . 2008 , , , . [ J ] . , 2008, 31 2) : 228-233. 1, 2 2 1 3 4 翟羽 , 肖辉, 杜秉玉, 刘金华 , 姚展予 ( 1. , 2 10044;2. , 100029; 3. , 450003;4. , 100081)) : 将聚类统计检验分析引入原有的基于聚类的浮动区对比历史回归人工增雨效果检验 法中, 减小站点分区的盲目性, 聚为同一类的站点相似度更大, 使聚类分析具有统计学意义并把这种 法和未引入聚类检验的 法进行比较, 通过对河南4 月10 次作业的效果评估表明, 引入聚类检验 提高了效果评估的功效 : 聚类检验; 浮动对比区; 历史回归; 增雨效果 : P 481 : A : 1000- 2022 2008) 02- 022 8- 06 Application of the Cluster Statistical Test to Effectiveness Evaluation of Artificial Precipitation Enhancement 1, 2 2 1 3 4 ZH A I Yu , X IA O H ui , DU Bing-yu , L IU Jin- hua , YA O Zh an-yu 1. S chool of A ppli ed M et eorol ogy , NU IST , Nanjin g 210044, C hina; 2. Laboratory of Cloud-Precipit at ion Phy sics and Severe St orms , In st it ut e of A t mospheric Phy sics, CA S, Beijing 100029, China ; 3. H en an M eteorological Bu reau, Z hengz hou 450003, China ; 4. Chinese A cadem y of M et eorol ogical Sciences, CM A , Beijing 100081, Chi na) Abstract:In this paper t he st atist ical t est o f clu st er analysis sug gest ed by P rof esso r Y ao Zhensh- eng 1994) was used t o improv e t he original Cluster- A naly sis- based F loating Cont rol hist or ical re- g ressio n Met hod. T he new method can dim inish blindness in cl uster analysis , increase t he correla- t ivit y of stat ions pr ecipit io n in t he same clu st er , and make t he clust er analysis have st at ist ical meaning . T he assessment of precipit ation