县域经济发展失衡预警指标体系设计及预警评判标准界定.pdfVIP

·研究方法· 资源开发与市场 Rωurce Develop阳咀 Mmet 2013 29(6) doi: 1O .3969/j. issn.l∞5 - 8141.2013 .06.α 县域经济发展失衡预警指标体系设计及预警评判标准界定 李美娟1 ，2 (1.云南师范大学经济与管理学院，云南昆明 6筑J092 .2 . 复旦大学应用经济学博士后流动站，上海 2(灿433) 摘要:改革开放以来，中国县域经济取得了举世瞩目的成就，但各县域之间经济发展差距较大，落后县与先进县的差距有进一 步技大的趋势，县域经济发展存在很大的不平衡俭，而发展失衡容易引发地区性社会风险。从经济规模、经济结构、社会民生和资 源环境4 个方面构建了由23 个具体指标构成的县域经济发展失衡预警指标体系，在进行预警指标设计时重点关注了那些具有较强 警戒作用的敏感性指标。此外，采用世界通行标准法和国内外文献综述法等多种方法界定了各预警指标的预警评判标准，为县域 经济发展失衡程度的评判和预警提供了依据。 关键询:县域经济;发展失衡;预警指标;预警评判标准 中图分类号:F201 文献标志码:A 文章编号:1∞5 - 8141 (2013)06 - 0590 - 05 Design Wami鸣Ind阳ωr System of e创皿tyEωoomic Devel叩ment Imbalanc:黯 and DeftDed Early Wami略Criteria l 2 U Mei - juan • (I. Sch∞1 of Economics and Management ,Yunnan Nonnal University ,Kunming 65α沙2 ， China; 2 . Applied Economics P08tdoctoral pro伊ms， Fudan University , Shanghai 2仅说33 ， China) Ab曲富t: Since the refonn and opening up , Chinese county economy made re ma.rlc.ahle achievements , but the economic development gap w幽 large between each ∞unty ， and the gaps were further widening between backward ωunties and advanced counti钮，county economic development ex- isted a great imbalance ,but development imbalance easily triggered a regional 四cial risk. The author built the ∞unty economic development imbal- anc倒 early waming indicator system which were constituted by the 23 s严cific indicato四，from fo町也pects of the economic 盹ale , economic structure , 脱iallive恤俐，re拍即回 and environment. Desi伊ing the waming indicator窑，the author focued on 山倒回nsitivity indicators of strong vigilance.role . In addition ,using ways of 出e world accepted standard law and the domestic and international literature