基于BP神经网络的南北生猪价格周期性预测-全稿-.docx

基于BP神经网络的南北生猪价格周期性预测摘要：近年来，由于猪肉安全事故和供求关系等因素的影响，导致猪肉市场价格波动大，养猪业难以持续稳定发展。科学预测生猪价格周期，对科学指导生猪生产和宏观调控猪肉市场价格意义重大。根据历年数据，采用 BP 神经网络预测方法，实现在 MATLAB 中运行，通过对模型的多次训练，选择隐层神经元数目为 6 个，达到了期望效果。预测结果表明，2014~2017年，我国生猪价格分别为 8.34、8.41、8.57和8.69元/千克。关键字:BP神经网络；南北生猪价格；预测BP neural network based on the forecast of the price of pig prices in North and SouthAbstract：In recent years， due to the impact of pork safety accidents and supply and demand relations and other factors， leading to large fluctuations in the price of pork market， pig industry is difficult to sustained and stable development.Scientific prediction of