张秋田2012021229论文改.docxVIP

分类号：××× UDC：D10621-407-(2016)××××-0密 级：公 开编 号：××××××××××成都信息工程大学学位论文近几十年四平市气候资源变化特征分析论文作者姓名：张秋田申请学位专业：大气科学/应用气象学申请学位类别：理学学士指导教师姓名（职称）：程志刚（副教授）论文提交日期：2016 年6月4 日四平市气候资源变化特征分析摘要采用四平市1961年-2015年6个气象站的气象资料并整理，利用气候倾向率法对年平均温度、四季的平均温度、最高温、最低温、日照、降水等进行趋势变化分析，并利用累积距平法划分出气候特征期，用M-K方法对气候资源进行突变性的检验，以及气候资源空间分布差异性的分析。结果表明，四平市55年气温呈增暖趋势，尤其是在冬季、春季增长明显，且在1989年发生突变并呈现上升趋势；降水呈缓慢变化，突变不明显，多雨期少雨期相互交替出现；日照时数呈降低的趋势，在1979年发生突变并呈现下降趋势，并且日照时数与日较差、最低气温等有密切的正负相关关系；因而四平市总体呈暖干化的变化趋势，最后结合农业发展，经济增长的对气候资源的特征变化及影响进行了简要讨论。关键词：变化特征；相关系数；突变；四平市Analysis of Variation Characteristics of Climate Resources in Siping CityAbstractUsing the Siping City of 6 meteorological stations from 1961-2015 years meteorological data and finishing, the trend change of annual average temperature, average temperature of four seasons, the highest temperature, the lowest temperature, sunshine, precipitation and other meteorological data were analyzed by the method of climate tendency rate,and the climate characteristic period was divided by the cumulative anomaly method.,test for the sudden change of climatic resources by M-K method, and analysis of the spatial distribution of climate resources. Results show that 55 years Siping City temperature is warming trend, especially in winter and spring growth significantly, and in 1989 occurred mutations and showed a rising trend; the rainfall is slowly changing, the mutation is not obvious, the rainy period in dry season are alternate;The trend of sunshine time is reduced, mutations in 1979 after it showed a trend of decline; and sunshine hours has a close positive and negative correlationand with the day is poor and the lowest temperature ; thus Siping City showed an overall warming and drying trend. Finally, combined with the development of agriculture, economic growth briefly on climate resources characteristic changes and the impact are discussed.Keywords: Variation Characteristics; Correlation Coefficient; Mutation; Siping目 录论文总页数：26页1引言11.1课题背景11.2研究现状11.3研究意义22资料及研究方法22.1资