基于大规模风光互补地发电侧可调节.doc

基于大规模风光互补的发电侧可调节 鲁棒优化调度策略 文阳1，周步祥1，王慧2，陈华3 （1.四川大学 电气信息学院，成都 610065；2.华北电力大学 电气与电子工程学院，河北 保定 071000；3.国网达州供电公司，四川 达州 635000） 摘要：随着间歇性新能源并网率不断提高，太阳能和风能出力随机性和不确定性对电网运行的影响越来越大。为了衡量风光出力的相关性，提出将Copula理论引入到调度策略中，采用Kendall秩相关系数来衡量其相关性。同时为了协调系统的经济性和可靠性，提出引入模糊机会约束来界定风光互补可信水平，减少了配置风光出力和旋转备用容量决策的盲目性。最后将该鲁棒优化调度模型化简成经典的非线性二次规划问题，采用优化对偶内点法求解，并用经典算例进行测试，结果验证了该模型的可行性、鲁棒性和经济性。 关键词：风光互补；置信水平；鲁棒优化；Copula理论 中图分类号：TM93 文献标识码：B 文章编号：1001-1390（2016）00-0000-00 Adjustable obust optimal scheduling strategy based on large scale generation side wind-PV power Wen Yang1, Zhou Buxiang1, Wang Hui2, Chen Hua3 (1. College of Electrical Engineering and Information, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China. 2. School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071000, Hebei, China. 3. Da Zhou Power Supply Company, Dazhou 635000, Sichuan, China) Abstract：With the continuous improvement of the intermittent new energy grid connection, the influence of solar energy and wind power generation on the power grid operation is becoming more and more random. In order to measure the correlation of wind power output, the Copula theory is introduced into the scheduling strategy, and Kendall rank correlation coefficient is adopted to measure the correlation. At the same time, in order to coordinate the economy and reliability of the system, it is suggested that the fuzzy chance constraint is introduced to define the level of scenery complementary and credible, and reduce the blindness of the allocation of wind power and the decision of the reserve capacity. Finally, the robust optimization scheduling model is simplified into two non-linear sub programming problems. The optimal dual interior point method is used to solve the problem, and the classical algorithm is used to conduct test. The results show that the model is feasible, robust and economical. Keywords：scenery complementary, confidence level, robust optimization, theory of Copula