欧元作为国际货币的地位探析程序.docx

欧元作为国际货币的地位探析万耀群国贸1432014124319目录一、 国际收支平衡表3二、 折线图5三、 探析：6（一） 国际货币体系：6（二） 汇率与国际货币体系：6（三） 欧元在国际货币体系中的地位：7国际收支平衡表（Summary balance of payments）EUR billions, unless otherwise indicated; net transactions201220132014201520152016Q2Q3Q4Feb.Mar.Apr.MayJuneJulyAug.Sep.Oct.Nov.Dec.Jan.Feb.CurrentaccountTotal128.5215.2251.368.696.4107.815.831.524.97.935.940.619.736.230.63344.28.311.1Goods125.5210.6247.684.781.690.825.826.327.724.732.336.816.927.831.230.329.213.625.5Services60.96975.622.620.214.52.82.55.58.58.67.35.57.43.44.271.93.1Primaryincome7779.169.8-8.716.932.811.315.92.6-15.54.24.34.28.45.89.417.62.66.3Second-aryincome-134.9-143.5-141.6-30-22.2-30.2-24.1-13.2-10.9-9.9-9.2-7.9-6.9-7.4-9.8-10.9-9.6-9.9-23.9Capitalaccount920.619.1-27.85.66.5-0.81.21.51.9-31.21.82.41.43.12.41-0.92.2Net lending/borrowingto/from rest ofthe world(columns1+6)137.5235.7270.440.9102.1114.414.932.826.49.84.742.422.137.633.735.445.27.413.3FinancialaccountTotal116.7350.2370.392.751.5181.2-31.726.6-3.740.955.5370.314.2126.3-26.781.5-1548.3Directinvestment11.2-58.559.6-6.8-12.63718.638.5-2.612.5-16.77.22-21.756.9-70.450.516.546.6Portfolioinvestment-141-3.8113.3127.291.7137.5-46.5-16.849.424.753.191.3-5.45.73921.876.633.875Financialderivatives32.714.642.8-0.1-0.845.112.19.64.52.8-7.49.7-6.8-3.7817.919.3104.4Otherinvestment199.2393.2150.2-25.2-29.4-43-20-4.9-51.12.723.2-64.29.125.628.51.5-73-74.2-78.8Reserveassets14.84.74.4-2.42.74.64.20.2-3.8-1.83.2-71.48.3-62.58.1-1.11.1Errors and omissions-20.8114.599.951.8-50.566.8-46.6-6.2-30.131.150.7-5.4-21.8-23.392.6-62.136.3-22.435资料来源：ECB Statistics Bulletin折线图Euro area b.o.p.: current account(12-month cumulated transactions as a percentage of GDP)资料来源：ECB Statistics BulletinEuro area b.o.p.: direct and portfolio investment(12-month cumulated transactions as a percentage of GDP)资料来源：ECB Statistics Bulletin探析：国际货币体系：20世纪50年代和60年代，大家都认为只有黄金才能作为世界货币，纸币不能成为世界货币。但是，1971年8月15日美国宣布美元与黄金脱钩以后，美元纸币成为国际货币，成为世界货币。这打破了传统的国际货币理论。严格说来，国际货币体系是从那个时候开始的，从美元强制成为国际货币开始的。但其他国家的纸币则没有