故障预测基于混合的方法状态判断与回归.pdfVIP

Hindawi Publishing Corporation Advances in Mechanical Engineering Volume 2013, Article ID 149562, 10 pages /10.1155/2013/149562 Research Article Fault Prognostic Based on Hybrid Method of State Judgment and Regression Xiaobin Li,1,2 Jiansheng Qian,1 and Gai-ge Wang2 1 School of Computer Science and Technology, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221008, China 2 School of Computer Science and Technology, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China Correspondence should be addressed to Jiansheng Qian; qianjsh@ Received 19 July 2013; Accepted 29 September 2013 Academic Editor: Amir H. Gandomi Copyright 漏 2013 Xiaobin Li et al. his is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Fault prognostic is one of the most important problems in equipment health management system. his paper presents a hybrid method of mixture of Gaussian hidden Markov model (MG-HMM) and ixed size least squares support vector regression (FS- LSSVR) for fault prognostic. he system is established based on three parts. he irst part trains the MG-HMM and FS-LSSVR model. According to the known samples, several MG-HMM models can be learned based on expectation maximization (EM) algorithm. hen, the forward variables can be calculated based on these MG-HMM models. Based on these forward variables, the corresponding FS-LSSVR models are built. All the MG-HMM models and corresponding FS-LSSVR models are combined into a model library. he second part recognizes the unknown sample based on the model library. his part obtains the MG-HMM model and FS-LSSVR model by maximization likelihood calculation between the unknown sample and MG-HMM mo