基于粗糙模糊集的输电杆塔塔材实际强度精确计算.docVIP

基于粗糙模糊集的输电杆塔塔材实际强度精确计算* 崔莉1陆文伟2葛乐2龚灯才3杨志超2 南京工程学院 工业中心，南京 211167；2. 南京工程学院 电力工程学院，南京 211167；3.南通供电公司南通 226006）TM753 文献标识码： 文章编号：1001-1390（201）00-0000-00calculation of the actual strength of transmission tower material based on rough fuzzy set Cui Li1, Lu Wenwei2, Ge Le2, Gong Dengcai3, Yang Zhichao2 (1. Industrial Center, Nanjing Institute of Technology, Nanjing 211167, China. 2. School of Electric Power Engineering, Nanjing Institute of Technology, Nanjing 211167, China. 3.Transmission Inspection Unit, Nantong Power Supply Company, Nantong 226006, China) Abstract：Aiming at the uncertain and complicated problem of evaluation and calculation of the strength of transmission tower material, a method of rough fuzzy sets has been proposed in this paper for the precise calculation of actual strength of the transmission tower material. Firstly, this method uses rough sets theory to reduce index set, then, the evaluation index weights are determined by adopting the combination of subjective weight and objective weight method, and according to the established evaluation level sets, the actual strength of tower material is evaluated and calculated by the method of fuzzy mathematics. Example analysis results show the correctness and feasibility of the calculation method. It can solve the typical and uncertain problem of the factor validity which is not clear in the evolution process of tower material intensity, and it can provide important scientific basis for the structure safety assessment of transmission line. Keywords：rough fuzzy sets, actual strength of tower material, index weights, rank set0　引 言 ([1]。08[2]。相关专家提出：电网发生重大安全事故的重要原因是缺乏科学有效的安全预警系统，而输电线路结构安全评价是建立该系统的重要基础之一[3,4]，长期运行资料表明，输电线路安全事故大多由输电杆塔结构受力破坏造成[3]。杆塔结构安全由杆塔应力和塔材实际强度两者表征，本文主要研究塔材的实际强度的精确计算。 由于杆塔本体长期受到自然和外力侵袭发生老化劣化[5]，其塔材实际强度低于理论强度。杆塔塔材强度退化是一个不确定性状态空间的演化过程，其中影响塔材强度因素的效度不清晰，评判的专家知识具有不完备性[5]，所以对杆塔塔材实际强度的评价与计算是一个复杂的不确定性问题。 模糊综合评价具有结果清晰、系统性强的特点，能较好地解决模糊、难以量化的问题，适合多种非确定性问题的解决[6]。然而该方法也存在一些缺点：首先，影响塔材强度的