交通冲突严重度模糊评价方法_李杰.pdfVIP

8 2 Vol1 8 No12 2008 4 Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology April 2008 : 009-6744 (2008) 02-009 -05 * 李 杰, 陈学武 , 王 炜 ( , 2 0096) : 交通冲突技术是一项近似事故的安全评价方法, 具有许多事故评价不可比拟的 优点. 冲突严 度判别是交通冲突技术中非常 要的 一个环节, 一般采取距碰撞时间 ( tTTC ) 作为指标. 但是由于传统的冲突技术最初是在人工观测的背景下开发出来的, 因 此冲突严 度的判别相对依赖人工经验, 不够精确, 因此不利于实现自动冲突检测. 本 文试图将模糊控制思想引入交通冲突严 度判别来解决这些问题, 并相应地提出两种 实用的方法及讨论了如何将其用于实时动态自动监测交通安全. : 交通冲突; 模糊控制; 自动检测; 冲突严 度 : U49 . 3 : A Fuzzy Evaluation Method for the Severity of Traffic Conflicts LI Jie, CHEN Xue-wu, WANG Wei ( Key Laboratory of Transportation Planning and Management of Jiangsu Province, Southeast University, Nanjing 2 0096, China) Abstract: The traffic conflict technique (TCT) is a near-accident evaluation of road safety. Compared to the ac- cident statistics, this promising method for assessing the level of the safety has some unique advantages. The estima- tion of severity of conflicts is an important building block of TCT with Time-to-collision ( tTTC ) as an indicator. Un- fortunately, because this technique is developed based on human-being observation, there have been some prob- lems on determining the severity of the traffic conflicts, such as dependence on human experience and the inaccura- cy of the result which is not convenient for automatic monitoring. This paper attempts to introduce the fuzzy logical control method to overcome these problems and to apply it to real-time road safety monitoring by proposing two prac