信息科技(IT)十大趋势Y2003.pptVIP

Ten Trends forthe InformationMillennium Graeme PhilipsonIT 2003 Conference 19 November 2003 1. The Information Explosion The Information Explosion How much information? Kilobyte A page of text How much information? Megabyte A short novel How much information? Gigabyte Beethoven’s Fifth Symphony How much information? Terabyte All the X-rays in a large hospital How much information? Petabyte The contents of the world’s research libraries How much information? Exabyte All the words ever spoken How much information? Zettabyte Grains of sandon all the world’s beaches How much information? Yottabyte Atoms in 7000 human bodies Some facts about information The world produced 3 Exabytes of new information last year The amount of new information is doubling every two years More new information will be created over the next few years than in the entire history of mankind so far More information is created by individuals than companies (the “democratisation of information”) More than 100 billion photos are taken every year 2. The Real-Time Economy Increasing Business VelocityReduced time for sample business processes, 1984 - 2003 3. Everybody is a User Total Number of Applications Users 4. A Wireless World Worldwide Mobile Phone Users Mobile Phone Users per Internet User Wireless Enabling Technologies WAP XML Bluetooth 3G 802.11 etc. etc. etc. Wireless Inhibitors Device limitations – screens etc. Business and consumer acceptance Business orientation of operators Infrastructure and networks Government policy Interoperability Security 5. Web Services and the Evolution of Applications Web Services Architecture Web Services Process Flow 6. The Rise of Open Source The Rise of Open Source Unix origins in open source Lunix set the pattern Much more to open source than Linux Open source is not (necessarily) free Philosophical and ideological challenge to convention 7. The Threat to IP and Copyright The Threat to IP and Copyright Copyright i