政府预算赤字-预期及影响The Government Budget -Prospects and Implications.pptVIP

The Government Budget:Prospects and Implications;National Saving and Wealth;Link Between Balance Sheet and Income Statement;Capital Gains and Saving;Capital Gain in Closed Economy:National Perspective;Source of Capital Gains;Capital Gains:Individual vs. National;U.S. National Saving, 1999-III;Gross Government Saving1999-III;Discretionary Outlays under Alternative Versions of Baseline;Budget Outlook under Current Policies;International Comparison of Fiscal Balances: I;International Comparison of Fiscal Balances: II;Gross Government Debt in Europe(percent of GDP);Revenues as a Share of GDP;Revenues by Source;Outlays; Source: CBO, The Economic and Budget Outlook: Fiscal Years 2001-2010, Table E-9, p. 143.;The Peace Dividend;Nondefense Discretionary Spending;;;;;Alternative Measure of Fiscal Balance;Projections of Federal Debt: I;Projections of Federal Debt: II;Projections of Federal Debt: III;Trust Fund Surpluses;Burden of the Debt(end of FY99, billions of dollars);Two Views of Burden of Debt;Federal Interest Outlays;Gross Debt/GDP;Changes in Debt-GDP Ratio;Factors Causing Debt-GDP Ratio to Rise;Effect on Deficit of 1 Percentage Point Reduction in Measured CPI(fiscal years, billions of dollars);Long-Run Deficit Projections(Calendar year, percentage of GDP);Long-Run Debt Projections(Debt held by public, calendar year, percentage of GDP);Social Security:Demographic Time Bomb;OASDI Trust Fund Ratio;Possible Solutions