四维变分资料同化在风暴潮模拟中的平流作用分析-南海海洋环境数值.PDFVIP

热带海洋学报 JOURNAL OF TROPICAL OCEANOGRAPHY 2011 年 第 30 卷 第 5 期: 1−8 海洋水文学 ; 四维变分资料同化在风暴潮模拟中的平流作用分析 李毅能, 彭世球, 舒业强, 赖志娟 热带海洋环境国家重点实验室( 中国科学院南海海洋研究所), 广东 广州 510301 摘要: 利用基于三维斜压非线性的普林斯顿海洋模型(POM)及其切向线性伴随模式的四维变分数据同化(4DVAR) 系统对一个近岸风暴潮个例进行理想同化试验和模拟, 着重分析了四维变分数据同化增水改善中的二维平流作 用。试验结果表明, 同化后的水位结果明显优于同化前的结果, 而且同化对预报的影响主要在前 5h, 尤其是积分 到 3—4h 时同化和无同化的结果差异最大, 在 5h 后同化的影响变得非常小。从平流作用中分析得知, 无论是只同 化水位还是同化水位和海表流速, 同化的结果都增大了沿岸和向岸的平流。与无同化结果相比, 同化试验的增水 改善主要是来自向岸平流的增大, 但只同化水位时由于水位增大使向岸压力梯度减小从而阻碍了向岸流的进一步 增大; 而同时同化水位和海表流速时, 由于流速也被改善, 故增水改善更明显和合理。 关键词: 风暴潮; 四维变分; 平流作用; 资料同化 中图分类号: P731 文献标识码: A 文章编号: 1009-5470(2011)05-0000-08 Analysis of advection effects using four-dimensional variational data assimilation in storm surge simulation LI Yi-neng, PENG Shi-Qiu, SHU Ye-qiang, LAI Zhi-juan State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography (South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, CAS), Guangzhou 510301, China Abstract: A four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) algorithm based on the three-dimensional Princeton Ocean Model (POM) and the adjoint of its tangent linear model was applied to a storm surge simulation using model-generated ‘‘pseudo-observations.’’ The analysis was focused on the role of horizontal advection in improving storm surge simulation by the 4DVAR. It is found that the significant impact of 4DVAR on the storm surge simulation is only seen in the first five hours of the simulation, with its maximum impact during the first 3−4 hours. The results show that the alongshore currents and the shoreward currents became greater after data assimilation. It is also found that the improvement of s