浙江大学地球科学系 - Copernicusorg.PPT

* * 当NAO位于高指数年的时候（左边这张图），冰岛附近气压异常偏低，而亚热带地区异常偏高。这种高低压的分布使得穿过北大西洋的西风加强，导致更多更强的水汽穿过大西洋，到达欧洲地区，使得欧洲大陆的偏暖偏湿，而加拿大北部和格陵兰岛偏冷偏干。 相反，当NAO处于低指数年的时候，穿过北大西洋的水汽偏弱偏少，而且水汽的传输路径变得更倾向与东西方向。结果就是将更多的水汽传送到了地中海地区。 这种加强或者减弱的北大西洋西风带直接影响到当地的生态系统和北大西洋地区的渔业市场。是北美和欧洲国家非常关心的问题。 ? * * * * * * * 浙江大学地球科学系 Influence of Forced Large-Scale Atmospheric Patterns on winter climate in China XiaoJing Jia 2015-3-24@HangZhou Contents Background The tropical Pacific SST-related large-scale atmospheric patterns and its relationship to the wintertime SAT over China The Mechanisms Conclusion * El Ni?o North Atlantic Oscillation（NAO) (Hurrell, 1996) Eighteen winter average temperature anomalies expressed as departures from the 1951 to 1980 mean. The temperature data consist of land surface temperatures blended with SST data (Jones and Briffa 1992). Negative anomalies are dashed, and regions of insufficient data coverage are not contoured. PNA NAO (Jia and Lin, 2011) The relationship between PNANAO and the SAT over China (winter) Contents Background The tropical Pacific SST-related large-scale atmospheric patterns and its relationship to the wintertime SAT over China The Mechanisms Improving seasonal forecast skill using the large-scale pattens Coclusion SVD - （Tropiacl Pacific SST- Z500_NH） SVD1 SVD2 TCC (PNA-ASVD1=0.67) TCC (Nino3.4-SSVD1=0.97) TCC (NAO-ASVD2=0.81) NAO-Like Negative SSTA - + SVD1 The relationship between SVD1 SVD2 and the SAT over China (winter) SVD2 NAO PNA Contents Background The tropical Pacific SST-related large-scale atmospheric patterns and its relationship to the wintertime SAT over China The Mechanisms Improving seasonal forecast skill using the large-scale pattens Coclusion footer here Slide * SVD2 related atmospheric circulation AO-SVD2=0.81 SLP SH AL SH AL footer here Slide * Vector:Wind_Z850 Shading: SAT Contour: SLP SLP footer here Slide * Z500 SLP footer here Slide * SVD2 related atmospheric circulation U200 SVD2 + ? East Asian Winter