2009 State of the Future - The Millennium Project（2009年国家未来的-年项目）.doc

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2009 State of the Future - The Millennium Project（2009年国家未来的-年项目）.doc

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Future Global Ethical Issues (Excerpt from the State of the Future report) Executive Summary Introduction Study Design Demographics Round 1 Results and Preparing for Round 2 4.1 Ethical Issue 4.2 Ethical Principles 4.3 Selection of Candidate Ethical Issues for Round 2 Importance and Resolution Potential of Ethical Issues Ethical Principles and their Spread Respondents Comments Group Differences 8.1 Gender Analysis 8.2 Regional Analysis 8.3 Cluster Analysis Conclusions Appendices A1. Round 1 Comments A2. Round 2 Comments A3. Categorization of Ethical Issues A4. Round 1 Questionnaire A5. Round 2 Questionnaire Executive Summary In the period from August 2004 to July 2005, the Millennium Project conducted a study of emerging global ethical issues and principles by which such issues might be resolved in the future. The scope was global and the time horizon stretched to 2050. More specifically, the purposes of this study were to: Identify important, novel ethical issues of global scale that might come on the scene within the next 50 years Assess the relative importance of these issues and the likelihood of their resolution Articulate the key principles that might be used in the solution of such ethical issues. For all of these, we hoped to identify the similarities and differences in perceptions among the subgroups participating in the study, for example, people from various regions and men and women. In the first round questionnaire the respondents were given illustrative statements about potential ethical issues and were asked to reword the statements if they thought the statements could be improved. The statements were presented in three time periods: 2005- 2010, 2010- 2025, and 2025-2050. The respondents were also asked to add similar issues in all three time periods that seemed significant and new. In addition, in an open-ended question, respondents were asked to provide statements of principles by which such issues might be resolved in the future (the Golden Ru