Chapter 4a. Reliability Assessment assakkaf（第四章。）.pdf

Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics CHAPTER RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT • A. J. Clark School of Engineering •Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering 4a Risk Analysis for Engineering Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of Maryland, College Park CHAPMAN HALL/CRC CHAPTER 4a. RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT Slide No. 1 Introduction “The reliability of an engineering system can be defined as its ability to fulfill its design purpose defined as performance requirements for some time period and environmental conditions. The theory of probability provides the fundamental bases to measure this ability.” CHAPTER 4a. RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT Slide No. 2 Introduction The reliability assessment methods can be based on 1. Analytical strength-and-load performance functions, or 2. Empirical life data. They can also be used to compute the reliability for a given set of conditions that are time invariant or for a time-dependent reliability. CHAPTER 4a. RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT Slide No. 3 Introduction The reliability of a component or system can be assessed in the form of a probability of meeting satisfactory performance requirements according to some performance functions under specific service and extreme conditions within a stated time period. Random variables with mean values, variances, and probability distribution functions are used to compute probabilities. CHAPTER 4a. RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT Slide No. 4 Analytical Performance-Based Reliabili