原创力文档基于改进型灰色理论的变压器油中溶解气体预测模型 prediction model for dissolved gas in transformer oil based on improved grey theory.pdfVIP
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基于改进型灰色理论的变压器油中溶解气体预测模型 prediction model for dissolved gas in transformer oil based on improved grey theory
第28卷第9期 电力自动化设备 V01．28No．9
翮efltri(·PowerAutomation
2008年9月 Equipment Sept．2008园
基于改进型灰色理论的变压器
油中溶解气体预测模型
赵文清1，朱永利1，张小奇2
(1．华北电力大学计算机科学与技术学院，河北保定071003：
2．西北电网有限公司调度通信中心，陕西西安710048)
摘要：以灰色系统理论为基础，研究变压器油中溶解气体体积分数的灰色预测新模型及其应用。建
立了新的改进型非等间隔灰色预测模型。该模型首先针对变压器油中溶解气体分析试验在时间上
具有非等间隔的特点，把非等间隔序列经一次拟合变换成等间隔序列。为了提高预测精度．采用一
次指数平滑运算对强随机性的电力变压器的油中溶解气体数据进行平滑处理，对前面得到的等间
隔数据重新生成，构成一
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