基于时空分析的短时交通流量预测模型-南京大学学报自然科学.pdfVIP

( ) 46 5 V o l. 46, No. 5 JOU R NA L OF NA NJIN G U N IV ERSIT Y 2010 9 Sep .2010 ( NAT U RA L SCIEN CES) * ** 1, 2 2 2 夏 英 , 梁中军 , 王国胤 ( 1. , , 6100 31; 2. , , 400065) : , . , , . , . . : , , , : T P 39 1 Research of shortterm traffic flow forecasting model based on spatiotemporal analysis 1, 2 2 2 X ia Ying , L iang ZhongJ un , Wang GuoYin ( 1. Schoo l o f Informa ion Science and T echnolo g y, So u hw es Jiao ong U niversi y, Chengdu, 6100 31, China; 2. Schoo l o f Co mpu er Science and T echno lo gy , Chongqing U niver si y of Po s s and T elecommunica ions, Chongqing, 400065 , China) Abstract: Shor erm r aff ic f low forecas ing is one o f he impor an issues for in ellig en r anspor a io n sys em s ( IT S) . T her e are var iou s me hods have been dev eloped o for ecas raff ic flow so f ar, bu mos of he for ecas ing models ar e co ns r uc ed accor ding o analysis of he his o rical and curr en r aff ic flow ser ies in selec ed sec io n or cr ossing, w i hou consider ing he spa ial inf orma ion of rela ed r aff ic ne w or k. Ac ually, her e are many spa io empo ral informa ion such as spa ial connec iv i y of he raff ic ne w