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2013年美国股市新高下的美股病态(US stock market new competition in 2013)
2013年美国股市新高下的美股病态(US stock market new competition in 2013)
U.S. stocks in 2013 the U.S. stock market to compete with the new sick
November 12, 2013 02:07
Such a rapid rise in the rest and not some analysts think it is obvious the bull market peaked signal
[using Hiller earnings on 1881 to 2011 data to do the calculation, if more than 20 times to buy, then the next 10 annualized revenue will be less than 3%. Especially the price earnings ratio is higher than 30 times, it will become a negative return.
Since this year, U.S. stocks continue to refresh the record highs. In October 30th, the Dow and the S P 500 index were again hit a record high. In the first 10 months of this year, the Dow rose 18.63%, the S P 500 index is up 23.16%.
Aiming at the severe rally in stocks at present, the investment community has obviously divided into two camps. Optimists believe that the stock market return rate reached more than 20% in the case of history is not rare, trying to stop the bull footsteps approach is very dangerous, even if U.S. stocks at record highs, the investment is still a good time.
Some investors have begun to market is once again the formation of bubbles are confused, they worry that the Feds QE policy is to push stocks bubble edge.
The shortness of the bull market
This year, the U.S. stock market performance really surprised everyone, the main reason is not in fact the gains, but rising continuously, did not show a significant adjustment, which is considered to be the current stock market there is a huge hidden performance.
This year, the closing level of the three major U.S. stock index closing price of all trading days are never too low at the end of 2012, the U.S. stock market since 1896 has ever appeared several times, but the average returns of these years is only 6.8%, less than the other year average of 7.8%.
According to tradition, stocks of the season will appear in the winter from Halloween to May of the next year during the summer rather lackluster. Ho
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