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进出口经济增长(Economic growth of imports and exports)
进出口经济增长(Economic growth of imports and exports)
Analysis of net exports to stimulate economic growth in 2010 (2010.10.15)
[Abstract] this year Chinas strong export growth, but at the same time the growth of imports also rose rapidly, the growth rate exceeded exports, resulting in trade surplus decreased sharply. But affected by the price and exchange rate changes this year, the trade surplus does not accurately reflect the net exports of goods and services, the actual change. The calculations show that 1-7 months of this year Chinas trade surplus fell 21.2%, while the actual net exports of goods rose by 62.7%, both changed completely in the opposite direction. Chinas trade surplus is expected in 2010 will be about $93 billion 200 million, down 52% over the previous year, a net decrease of $105 billion. But the net exports of goods and services will be positive growth, an increase of 14.2%, stimulating the positive economic growth by 0.56 percentage points, taking into account of Chinas service trade deficit continues to expand, GDP pull down about 0.06 percentage points, while the 2010 net exports of goods and services to promote economic growth is an increase of 0.5 percentage points.
(in the comments, since this year, Beijing) in the world economic recovery, Chinas exports have a strong upward trend. 1-7 months export growth 35.6%. But at the same time, Chinas import growth also rose rapidly, 1-7 months of imports value growth reached 47.6%. As a result of Chinas trade surplus from the same period last year fell to $106 billion 440 million this year 1-7 month $83 billion 930 million, a decline of 21.2%. The resulting problem is this year in the export situation improved obviously under the condition of net exports on economic growth this year is positive or negative pulling? This to us the right to judge the economic situation this year is very important.
Figure 1: since the beginning of this year, import and export trade balance changes
First, the balance of trad
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