相对阻抗logit路径选择模型的推导应用及验证-交通运输系统工程.pdfVIP

第12卷 第2期 交通运输系统工程与信息 Vol郾12 No郾2 2012 年4 月 Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology April 2012 文章编号: 1009鄄6744 (2012)02鄄0085鄄06 相对阻抗Logit路径选择模型的 推导、应用及验证 * 赖信君,余摇 志 ,李摇 军 (中山大学 智能交通研究中心,广东省智能交通系统重点实验室,广州510275) 摘要:摇 提出了一种基于相对阻抗的改进Logit模型,将判断误差的方差修正为与阻抗 相关,克服了传统模型因同一分布而导致的等方差问题,并推导出基于相对阻抗的 Logit模型的概率计算公式.给出了相对效用的概念在常见改进 Logit 独立相关性缺陷 的模型中的应用.计算实例表明,改进后的模型均能有效解决“长短路冶问题,且物理意 义明确、计算简单,具有良好的鲁棒性. 关键词:摇 交通规划;出行者行为;Logit路径选择模型;相对阻抗;长短路问题 中图分类号:摇 U491.1+22 文献标识码:摇 A Derivation,Implementation and Examination of Logit Route Choice Model with Relative Impedance LAI Xin鄄jun,YU Zhi,LIJun (Research Center of Intelligent Transportation System,Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Intelligent Transportation System,Sun Yat鄄sen University,Guangzhou510275,China) Abstract:摇 In the paper,the modified Logit route choice models with relative impedance are presented to resolvethefixedvariancesproblemofthetraditionallogitmodel. Therefore,thevariancesofperceptionerror are relative to the route impedances. The classical variations of Logit models employing relative impedances are deduced. Three numerical tests show that the proposed models are more reasonable and robust than the traditional ones,and the modified PCL model with Probit equivalent impedances is the closest to theoretical results. The revised models have clear theoretical background,perform more rationally than traditional ones and still retain the advantage of easy computation,which make