scenarios for knowledge integration exploring ecotourism futures in milne bay, papua new guinea知识集成场景探索生态旅游期货在米尔恩湾,巴布亚新几内亚.pdfVIP
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scenarios for knowledge integration exploring ecotourism futures in milne bay, papua new guinea知识集成场景探索生态旅游期货在米尔恩湾,巴布亚新几内亚
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Journal of Marine Biology
Volume 2011, Article ID 504651, 11 pages
doi:10.1155/2011/504651
Research Article
Scenarios for Knowledge Integration: Exploring Ecotourism
Futures in Milne Bay, Papua New Guinea
E. L. Bohensky,1 J. R. A. Butler,2 and D. Mitchell3
1 CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences Division and Climate Adaptation Flagship, Private Mail Bag, Aitkenvale QLD 4814, Australia
2 CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences Division and Climate Adaptation Flagship, GPO Box 2583, Brisbane, QLD 4001, Australia
3 Asia-Pacific Field Division, Pacific Island Program, Conservation International, 211 Alotau, Papua New Guinea
Correspondence should be addressed to E. L. Bohensky, erin.bohensky@csiro.au
Received 21 April 2010; Revised 16 August 2010; Accepted 5 October 2010
Academic Editor: Judith D. Lemus
Copyright © 2011 E. L. Bohensky et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License,
which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Scenario planning, a method for structured thinking about the future, offers an important tool for integrating scientific and
stakeholder knowledge at different scales to explore alternative natural resource management and policy options. However, actual
examples of such integration are rare. A scenario planning exercise was conducted in Milne Bay Province, Papua New Guinea, to
integrate knowledge among scientists, ecotourism experts, and ecotourism stakeholders to explore possible futures for Milne Bay’s
nascent ecotourism industry. Four scenarios focused on climate change and technology, highlighting the risks and opportunities
associated with rapid information exchange, and options to develop alternative ecotourism activities
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