中国经济增长的可持续性分析（An analysis of sustainability of Chinas economic growth）.doc

中国经济增长的可持续性分析（An analysis of sustainability of Chinas economic growth） An analysis of the sustainability of Chinas economic growth [1] [Chen Jing]: 2009-10-28 20:48:17 From the data, the three quarter of 2009, Chinas economic growth of 8.9% of dry goods, can not say that the Statistics Bureau did. 1. power generation In August, an increase of 9.3%, an increase of more than 10% in September. Power generation is not industrial production, that is, consumption, there is real demand can come up, generally believe that higher reliability. Economic growth was questioned in the first two quarters, partly because power generation did not increase. 2. car and property sales Various grades of cars have many sold out of stock, the manufacturers have introduced a huge expansion plans. Almost all foreign car factories increased their investment by hitting the Chinese market. Annual sales will exceed 10 million vehicles, and will always be the worlds first sales. To 100 thousand average price, forming a trillion level demand. Property sales are likely to be new, higher than in 2007. Prices also rose crazy, the new plate, high-quality second-hand housing has exceeded the highest price in 2007. Overall, volume and price rise, in September due to the price is too high, the supply is not good, some parts of the new site transactions reduced. 3. rural consumption In the first half of the year, rural consumption increased by 16.4%, higher than the citys growth rate by 2 percentage points. There is reason to believe that this growth is true. Mainly in the last few years, a large scale of rural infrastructure construction has been carried out continuously. Power, road, communication and rural consumption have a material base, reducing the burden on farmers and increasing the income of farmers have also made remarkable achievements. In the rural areas, it is not new to buy Internet or buy a car. Mainly due to these major items driven, consumption growth is credible. Ten thousand Li Feng b