串并联系统可靠度置信区间估计探究.pdfVIP

* 1 1 西 南 交通 大学 机械 工程 学 院 2 12 中国工程物理研究院结构力学研究所 : , , , , , , , , , : ; ; ; ; Abstract: Considering th at few or ev en no r eliability test s are conducted f or complex system s, a reliability compre hensive estim ation method is provided b ased on co mponent test dataT his method can be u sed w ithout assum ing that lives of system o r compo nent f ollow tim e- to- f ailure distr ibution, decreasing reliability and variance errors du e to incorrect lif e distribution selection T he co mplex system reliability m ean and var iance can be obtained based on component reliabili ty inf orm ation and the condit ion th at the complex system can be decomposed into series or parallel system s T he inf orm a tion entr opy theor y is applied to transf orm co mponent test data into system test data T hus a new sm all sample b ased sys tem reliability co nf idence inter val est im atio n m et hod is o ff ered under the assumption that the system f ollow s norm al or log norm al distribution T he new m et hod is characteristic of less con straint s and simplif ied calculation and is su itable f or less data system reliability analysis Keywords: complex system ; r eliability; conf idence inter val ; sm all sample; estim ation : ; ( 6) ; ; , ( 7) ;