early estimation of the reproduction number in the presence of imported cases pandemic influenza h1n1-2009 in new zealand早期估计的繁殖数量的输入性病例h1n1大流行性流感- 2009在新西兰.pdfVIP

Early Estimation of the Reproduction Number in the Presence of Imported Cases: Pandemic Influenza H1N1- 2009 in New Zealand 1 2,3 Michael George Roberts *, Hiroshi Nishiura 1 Centre for Mathematical Biology, Institute of Information and Mathematical Sciences, and New Zealand Institute for Advanced Study, Massey University, Auckland, New Zealand, 2 PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan, 3 Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands Abstract We analyse data